Renewal uncertainty in volume procurement could reduce sales or margins if core products fail to win or reprice sharply. High reliance on a few products, with top five contributing 72.6%, increases earnings volatility from single-product swings. Innovation risk is elevated as programs concentrate in preclinical and Phase I, with failure or delay affecting valuation. Escalating selling and R&D intensity may erode margins if marginal benefits underperform expectations post tender awards. Dependence on over 500 distributors introduces regional management, compliance, and credit risks that could disrupt cash flows. Manufacturing scale-up increases quality control demands, where recalls or inspections could damage brand and financials materially. Competition from domestic leaders and multinationals with price and brand advantages may pressure share and hospital access. Originators granted reimbursement at reduced prices could directly substitute generics across the same indications in formularies. Frequent policy changes in reimbursement and procurement rules create pricing and access uncertainty across provinces today. Ramp-up at new production lines may lag plan, impairing supply reliability and cost absorption during early phases. Government subsidies contributed meaningfully in 2024; future reductions would slow earnings growth versus plan materially if. Valuation near 41–42x P/E is elevated; insufficient growth delivery could trigger de-rating and share price volatility.
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